Discussion
of the way money is created is endlessly confused and confusing, partly because
of the terminology used, and partly because what is happening is so surreal. This
page attempts to address the problem graphically with reference to the above diagram,
in the hope that visualisation will aid comprehension. I am not an economist,
thank god, but an average intelligent person who has made huge efforts recently
to get my head around the problem.
Start
at the top. There are 2 players, the borrower and the bank (or other lending institution).
The borrower asks for a loan, the bank officer decides the borrower is a safe
bet, and provides the loan.
The key
thing here is that the bank's loan is not drawn from the banks reserves as such.
The relation of the loan to reserves is via a multiplier, called the Fractional
Reserve (FR). With a 10% FR the bank can lend out 90% of what it holds, and
must hold 10% in reserve for reasons of bank security. In fact in the UK this
reserve has been abandoned, leaving prudence (which in the case of Northern Rock
was in short supply) as the only limit to lending.
The
loan creates a credit that appears in the borrower's account, and an equal and
opposite debit that appears in the banks accounts. These values have a dual nature:
to the borrower his loan is both an asset that he can use and also a liability
to be paid off; to the bank it is an asset (in the expectation that it will be
paid off with interest) and also a liability, in that the borrower might default.
The
borrower can now spend her money into general circulation, perhaps buying machinery
to increase the productivity of her business. All the time she works she is paying
off her loan, first the interest, and finally the principal - that is, the sum
she borrowed in the first place. When that happens, the loan (debt on the bank
side) is written off the banks books, so the bank loses the both the liability
(no more risk of default) and the asset (no more interest payments). The banks
loan books have reverted to where they were before, except that the bank's assets
have increased from the interest payments.
Meanwhile,
the man who sold the machinery to the borrower has made a profit, and he may be
able to put some of this in the bank as savings. So from interest repayments and
savings, the bank's assets and reserves increase, leaving the bank in a position
to lend out even more money.
Note that
the bank makes more money from lending than providing a safe deposit for savings.
It has to pay interest out to the saver (although it uses the increased reserves
from the savings to boost its lending), whereas a borrower pays a higher rate
of interest.
This
analysis predicts that (a) the money supply and (b) the debt in the world economy
will be increasing. The facts
confirm this: the world's money supply is increasing by between 4% for established
economies and 16% for emerging economies.
Debt
is also increasing. All but five
of the world's nations have significant foreign (external) debt. The UK has
debts equivalent to 4 years' worth of GDP. The economist Margit
Kennedy quotes a German study showing that interest on borrowed money represented
around 30-50 percent of the prices of all goods and services, depending on whether
you owned your own house without a mortgage or not, as housing is such a big factor.
This
system is unsustainable and is one of the drivers for economic growth. It has
evolved from a system where the government used to create the money supply (see
this video
to explain the evolution of banking).
The
creation of money by interest bearing loans is one of the factors behind the economic
divergence between rich and poor. The rich have surplus money, so they can lend
it to banks or stock markets, becoming richer (unless the stock markets crash).
The poor have no money, and so have to borrow - if they can - and become poorer
since they have to pay the interest.
There
are alternatives available, in which the Government itself issues money into the
economy by funding beneficial projects (for example, renewable energy generators).
This solution always raises the fear of hyperinflation, but this does not have
to be the case if the government is careful not to inject too much money.